The first phase of a Hype Cycle is the “technology trigger” or breakthrough, product launch or other event that generates significant press and interest. Here are the five stages of the hype cycle: UPDATE: Link to Gartner’s 2010 Emerging Technologies Hype Cycle
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What’s a hype cycle? The hype cycle provides a cross-industry perspective on the technologies and trends IT managers should consider in developing emerging-technology portfolios. Gartner maintains something called hype cycles for various technologies. He has spinal muscular atrophy, & can now play son cut the ribbon on remodeled SF playground today. #9: Ever wonder why we swing our arms when we walk? Research finds it’s more efficient than keeping our arms still #8: BofA to Shut 600 Branches Due to Surge in Online & Mobile Banking I never go in branches. #7: Creating psychological distance f/ a problem is key to increasing your creativity. #6: The science of hunches? by berkun Like his take about the importance of emotions in the decision process
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#5: The Atlantic: The Truth About IQ “Being branded with a low IQ at a young age, in other words, is like being born poor” #4: I think we need a recount: ranks the Top 50 Geek Entrepreneur blogs I come in #7 behind louisgray #3: CNET: A Google Wave reality check I, for one, love seeing the painful process of development, even at Google. #2: Does Silicon Valley noise detract from long-term value creation? by andrew_chen #innovation See where 45 technologies are in the cycle (via Spigit blog) #e20
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GARTNER HYPE CYCLE 2008 SOFTWARE
#1: Gartner Social Software Hype Cycle is out.
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Highlight: Yellow = didn’t see it coming (straight in at Text color: Green = on prediction, Red = off prediction, Purple = gone before enough data to evaluate (usually 10+ yrs or instant MT), Black/Grey = insufficient data yet to evaluate.X = no value and should be beyond plateau based on previous stats Number is predicted years to reach plateau: MT = Plateau of productivity (reached maturity, stable for now before heading towards extinction) SL = Slope of enlightenment (growth slowing but capability improving/standardisation), TR = Trough of disillusionment (expect change and consolidation), PK = Peak of expectations (value may be over-hyped), If a technology fits with your overall business strategy you should be evaluating it from the outset, if you are unsure, wait until more research is available (slope/plateau).” – Jackie Fenn, Gartner Analyst Tables summarising Gartner Hype Cycle predictionsĢ005 data kept only for trends still listed 2006 onwardsįT = Innovation Trigger (future potential), “Don’t invest in a technology just because it is being hyped (trigger/peak) or ignore a technology just because it is not living up to early over expectations (trough). This page began from a comment made a decade ago: How accurate are the Gartner hype cycles? Below is a table documenting 10 years of emerging trends, from 2005 to 2014.